Tuesday, May 8, 2012

5/8 Road Sweet Road

The Red Sox (12-16) take on the Royals (9-19) tonight in game 2 of their series at Kaufman Stadium in Kansas City.  The Sox have enjoyed road cooking so far this season, as they have amassed an 8-6 record on the road as opposed to 4-10 at home.  The Royals have the worst home record in the major leagues at just 2-13.  It seems like both of these teams would rather be playing in the other's park.  The Sox look to continue Kansas City's home troubles by sending Daniel Bard to the bump.  Bard looks to build off his last two starts, when he lasted 7 and 6.2 innings and recorded 7 and 6 K's respectively.  Bard looks to improve his Sox-rotation best 4.38 ERA (sad but true) and build on his 2 wins.  He is opposed by young left-hander Danny Duffy.  Duffy is averaging 95.3 mph on his fastball this season, which is the highest mark in the American League for a starting pitcher.  The young fireballer is 2-2 with a 3.57 ERA and has 26 K's in 22.2 IP this season.  The Sox face their second left-handed pitcher in a row and will face another one tomorrow night in Bruce Chen.  Ryan Sweeney and Salty Dog have to be wondering if they will start any games this series.  My guess is that both will sit again tonight, and both will start tomorrow during getaway day.   The biggest story in Red Sox Nation heading into tonight's game may be how Will Middlebrooks will follow up his incredible 2 HR performance on Monday night.  Here is my projected lineup:

Aviles SS
Pedroia 2B
Ortiz DH
Ross RF
Gonzalez 1B
Middlebrooks 3B
MacDonald  LF
Shoppach C
Byrd CF

For you betting fans, the money line has favored the Red Sox tonight since it opened at -135, but it has moved down to Red Sox -110.  Apparently the early action likes the Royals and Duffy.  I like the Red Sox tonight and think they're a pretty good bet at -110.  The over/under is 8.5.  I think the under is a good bet tonight.  I think both young fireballers throw a good game and we come out with a 4-2 Sox win.  They are due for a relatively low-scoring victory.

A couple of other bets around the MLB tonight that look attractive are the Rays at +126 with James Shields going against the Yankees with Ivan Nova.  I also like a couple of favorites with the Jays and Romero at -115 over the A's and Parker and the Nationals and E. Jackson at -117 over the Pirates and A.J. (deep ball) Burnett.

One more bonus bet for you tonight is the Boston Celtics +2.  I believe the Celtics close out the series tonight in Atlanta in a big way.  That Hawks team looked crushed and defeated on Sunday night.

Go Sox!

4 comments:

  1. Red Sox have any chance to gain on some other AL East teams as the Rays and Yankees are playing each other and O's are playing Texas, who crushed Baltimore last night.

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    1. Crushing them again tonight too. Josh Hamilton 4 HR's.

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  2. Hell of a job by me on my gambling recommendations. Red Sox lost, over 8.5, Rays lost, Jays lost, Nats lost. That's 0-4 on MLB bets. Don't bet on baseball kids. At least the Celtics had one of those classic gambler's "they lost the game but won the bet" games, covering the spread and giving me my lone victory of the night. That's right - 1-4 on the night. Egads.

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