Saturday, April 7, 2012

Game 2 Boston @ Detroit

Game day is finally here, but we've still got about 6 hours until first pitch (unfortunately, the game is on FOX, so we will have to wait until Sunday for Jenny Dell to come back into our lives).  Today's game is certainly not a must win, but it is important for this team to avoid a bad start and avoiding an 0-2 start would be nice.  Plus the schedule doesn't get any easier over the next two weeks.  Here is a look at today's matchup.  Let us know your line up and score predictions in the comments section.



Pitching Matchup: Beckett vs. Fister
Key Stats: At Comerica last year Fister was 4-1 with a 1.61 era and an opp. ave of .191
Sox may want to be aggressive on first pitch strikes as batters hit .374 against Fister's first pitch last year, but if he got ahead 0-1 opp. ave. dropped to .196

Beckett: He was 7-5 on the road last year with a 3.05 era which was .34 runs higher than at home, but in day games his era dropped to 2.27 in '11.  His opp. ave was .181 in day games and .202 on the road which is better than his home numbers.   Over the last three years his era at Comerica is 1.32 fourth lowest of any ballpark he has pitched in during that time. As long as his thumb is healthy, look for a quality start from Beckett today.

Here's my predicted lineup for today (it may look familiar)
Ellsbury CF
Pedroia 2B
Gonzalez 1B
Ortiz DH
Youkilis 3B
Sweeney RF
Ross LF
Salty C
Aviles SS

Score Prediction: Look for the Sox to be aggressive on first pitch fastballs in the strike zone and I look for them to score a few runs in the first 3 innings.  It is important for them to get out to an early lead today and continue to add on as the game progresses.  Aceves gets his first save and the Sox win 7-4.


6 comments:

  1. Fired up to have the Sox and Jenny Dell back in my life today! Good stats about today's starting pitchers. I agree that the Sox should look to be aggressive on first pitches, as Fister likes to pound the zone and work from ahead in the count. Predictions:

    Lineup:
    Ellsbury CF
    Pedroia 2B
    Gonzalez 1B
    Youkilis 3B
    Ortiz DH
    Ross LF
    Sweeney RF
    Salty C
    Aviles SS

    Score: Red Sox 6 Tigers 3
    Win: Beckett
    Loss: Fister
    Save: Aceves

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    1. Sad news: game is on FOX. No Jenny Dell today.

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  2. Keys to today's game are :

    1. The offense: now that they are not facing a super human pitcher, it would be time to crank up the offense. At least 2 HR's today.

    2. Beckett- he needs to be able to pitch effectively and hopefully with no thumb issue.

    3. Bullpen- since there is all ready panic in some corners of Sox Nation after one game, a second shaky pen performance may push some over the edge. I look for 7th/8th inning strong outings from Bowden and Melancon. There will be no save opportunity in the :

    8-3 Sox win.

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    1. Absolutely we need the offense to step up big today. They need to strike early and often. I'd like to see them get into the Detroit bullpen by the 6th inning.

      What the bullpen needs is a fairly easy (3 run) save to settle everyone down, but I'll take a win in any form. A comfortable 8-3 win would be nice.

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  3. Last winter on more than one occasion the Boston media, especially on Comcast speculated that Josh Beckett would get the rudest reception in Red Sox history for a home opener based on the "chicken and beer" antics. Now after this performance in Detroit, Beckett , at this point, is scheduled to be the starting pitcher for the home opener vs. Tampa Bay. How rudely he is treated may be in inverse order of how well the Sox do in the next 4 games of this trip. Should be interesting or ugly.

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    Replies
    1. If they go into the home opener at 1-5 or 0-6. It will be the most hostile home environment certainly during the Henry/Werner/Lucchino era and maybe as far back as '87 or '79? The Deacon could probably recall some of the more hostile times in Sox history better than I can. The Nation could not be less impressed with Beckett right now not to mention the media. We knew one thing for certain going into this season and that was the fact that it is going to be entertaining.

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